Insightful Inversion

Creativity comes in many forms, and often it is derived from approaching things from non-obvious angles, times, or spaces. The most obvious benefits or solutions are often overlooked because most of us think within a box, linearly, or in sequence. But, attending to the areas that are not always obvious can often yield the most…

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Survivorship Bias or Just Right Minds for the Times

Survivorship bias is often discussed in financial and medical circles, with theoretical, quantitative, and philosophical debates around its very existence (see https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-the-survivor-bias-distorts-reality/ and https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1047279713000896 and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias for just a few examples).  Is it just a statistical artifact that surfaces in any long-enough run of instances?  Another manifestation of the “hot hand”?  An indication of some…

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